Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -250 UCF +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +14 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -7.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -7.0 (+7.0) | 145.5 (+14.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -7.1 (+6.9) | 141.0 (+19.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -6.8 (+7.2) | 141.7 (+18.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -7.6 (+6.4) | 144.3 (+15.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UCF 97 – 84 BYU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BYU 81 – 75 UCF |
| Feb 14, 2024 | BYU 90 – 88 UCF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BYU 63 – 58 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-2 | 11-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 17.9 (#10) | 10.6 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#25) | 1.22 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#27) | 1.60 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#52) | 0.539 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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