Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -1000 UCF +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +2 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -13.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+36.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -10.6 (-8.6) | 140.8 (+37.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -11.0 (-9.0) | 139.8 (+38.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -10.8 (-8.8) | 140.5 (+37.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -11.3 (-9.3) | 144.7 (+33.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UCF 97 – 84 BYU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BYU 81 – 75 UCF |
| Mar 13, 2024 | BYU 87 – 73 UCF |
| Jan 13, 2024 | BYU 63 – 58 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-2 | 11-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 19.3 (#7) | 9.6 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#29) | 1.26 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#29) | 1.64 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#39) | 0.557 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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