I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–8 on winners spread MAE 7.0 22 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
East Texas A&M @ Nicholls +4.8 144.9 72% 51–72 ✓
Stony Brook @ Hofstra +6.3 141.7 72% 63–59 ✗
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +7.9 136.8 81% 65–79 ✓
Denver @ Omaha -0.3 151.4 51% 66–63 ✓
Milwaukee @ Northern Kentucky +1.4 154.5 54% 82–75 ✗
Portland State @ Montana +4.5 140.9 65% 81–87 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +6.0 144.0 75% 77–89 ✓
Davidson @ Fordham -3.0 134.2 40% 63–71 ✗
Oklahoma State @ UCF +4.1 136.9 67% 62–77 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame -0.6 136.2 50% 80–84 ✗
George Washington @ La Salle -0.3 150.9 52% 60–61 ✗
West Virginia @ Cincinnati +9.2 142.5 82% 85–90 ✓
Louisville @ NC State +10.4 145.9 83% 85–94 ✓
New Hampshire @ Vermont +11.4 138.8 87% 59–66 ✓
Saint Louis @ Rhode Island -1.0 150.1 40% 74–71 ✓
Canisius @ Mount St. Mary's +1.3 138.7 56% 77–61 ✗
Bryant @ UMass Lowell +5.5 157.8 75% 70–77 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +13.0 143.3 88% 57–76 ✓
Stony Brook @ Charleston +8.5 152.7 80% 79–82 ✓
Milwaukee @ Oakland +4.0 152.4 64% 76–83 ✓
Wagner @ Merrimack +5.4 126.1 63% 54–47 ✗
Miami @ Boston College -1.4 141.6 44% 65–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.