Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–11 on winners spread MAE 10.6 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duquesne @ Dayton +4.8 134.2 62% 65–57 ✗
Delaware State @ South Carolina State +0.9 136.5 55% 71–58 ✗
Stanford @ Washington State +4.6 142.6 73% 62–79 ✓
Penn State @ Indiana -0.9 145.6 47% 59–61 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Rider -0.2 128.7 50% 50–48 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +3.6 142.6 68% 68–75 ✓
California Baptist @ Seattle U +2.7 129.1 64% 57–81 ✓
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky +5.8 145.1 75% 69–89 ✓
Temple @ SMU +8.5 140.5 77% 75–60 ✗
Colorado State @ Nevada +0.5 134.3 56% 85–78 ✗
Villanova @ Marquette +3.5 135.4 69% 65–71 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Southern +2.8 132.2 55% 73–58 ✗
Boston College @ Virginia +0.6 123.4 58% 60–66 ✓
Cincinnati @ Baylor +3.3 143.5 59% 56–68 ✓
Georgia @ Florida +6.3 155.5 73% 80–85 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Arlington +2.0 144.9 61% 78–109 ✓
Utah @ Colorado +1.1 149.3 60% 58–72 ✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State +0.8 144.3 51% 67–86 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State -0.3 145.4 50% 76–66 ✓
Michigan State @ Purdue +6.4 138.9 74% 62–67 ✓
UTEP @ Sam Houston +3.6 135.3 67% 65–63 ✗
Mississippi State @ Tennessee +5.3 142.4 74% 73–56 ✗
East Carolina @ South Florida +5.0 138.7 73% 59–81 ✓
Wisconsin @ Northwestern -2.4 134.7 41% 70–61 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +2.0 131.5 60% 53–65 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky +4.4 146.1 68% 54–85 ✓
Wichita State @ UAB +3.3 147.0 63% 60–72 ✓
South Carolina @ Auburn +8.3 141.8 77% 55–86 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green -3.3 139.9 34% 73–60 ✓
St. John's @ UConn +11.4 147.6 85% 90–95 ✓
Howard @ Norfolk State +2.4 141.0 58% 80–74 ✗
Ohio State @ Illinois +4.1 150.0 63% 74–77 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +2.8 133.4 64% 62–60 ✗
Texas Tech @ Houston +7.2 126.6 80% 59–82 ✓
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina +3.9 143.8 64% 65–72 ✓
Texas A&M @ Kentucky +2.5 157.8 51% 97–87 ✗
North Texas @ Florida Atlantic +4.3 138.2 64% 71–77 ✓
Ohio @ Akron +2.2 135.3 59% 62–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.