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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–13 on winners spread MAE 9.1 34 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Oregon @ Arizona	+10.8	152.7	81%	67–59	✗
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central	+3.8	142.6	67%	71–58	✗
Providence @ Marquette	+5.1	141.1	72%	68–79	✓
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine	+6.8	149.2	75%	83–79	✗
Seattle U @ Grand Canyon	+5.6	137.0	74%	72–80	✓
Indiana @ Nebraska	+4.8	142.9	67%	66–93	✓
Marist @ Fairfield	+2.8	130.8	67%	61–65	✓
Baylor @ Iowa State	+0.3	137.2	55%	62–76	✓
Florida @ Alabama	+2.9	175.9	62%	102–88	✗
Alabama A&M @ Texas Southern	+4.6	139.9	65%	65–72	✓
NC State @ Virginia	-0.4	124.7	46%	73–65	✓
San Diego State @ Utah State	-2.1	140.8	41%	86–70	✓
Temple @ Charlotte	+4.1	130.6	65%	58–54	✗
Colorado @ Washington State	-1.4	137.6	42%	58–52	✓
UT Arlington @ Tarleton State	-0.8	144.3	43%	87–84	✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis	-0.1	135.4	51%	65–68	✗
Colorado State @ New Mexico	+2.3	143.6	62%	61–74	✓
UMass Lowell @ Vermont	+6.1	136.6	78%	61–66	✓
Brown @ Princeton	+8.7	140.1	78%	90–81	✗
Wisconsin @ Purdue	+6.1	143.5	71%	76–75	✗
Mississippi State @ Auburn	+4.3	144.5	70%	66–73	✓
Delaware State @ Howard	+2.8	141.7	64%	67–70	✓
Saint Joseph's @ VCU	+0.9	137.9	57%	60–66	✓
Cornell @ Yale	+0.9	147.2	57%	57–69	✓
UAB @ South Florida	+1.2	146.0	55%	93–83	✗
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne	+0.6	133.3	55%	60–70	✓
Texas A&M @ Florida	+0.8	154.5	48%	90–95	✓
Nebraska @ Illinois	+3.6	155.5	60%	87–98	✓
Temple @ Florida Atlantic	+12.1	148.1	82%	74–73	✗
New Mexico @ San Diego State	+0.3	145.0	50%	68–61	✗
Iowa State @ Houston	+3.9	122.3	66%	69–41	✗
Marquette @ UConn	+4.1	142.5	73%	57–73	✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield	+1.5	129.0	59%	68–63	✗
Kent State @ Akron	+2.2	135.4	61%	61–62	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.