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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–4 on winners
spread MAE 8.6
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NC State
@
North Carolina
|
+6.9 | 149.4 | 71% | 84–76 | ✗ |
UTEP
@
Western Kentucky
|
+2.5 | 146.4 | 55% | 71–78 | ✓ |
Oregon
@
Colorado
|
+2.7 | 139.6 | 61% | 75–68 | ✗ |
Texas Southern
@
Grambling
|
-0.5 | 133.1 | 47% | 66–75 | ✗ |
Long Beach State
@
UC Davis
|
-0.1 | 144.4 | 47% | 74–70 | ✓ |
UT Arlington
@
Grand Canyon
|
+6.0 | 146.4 | 72% | 74–89 | ✓ |
Brown
@
Yale
|
+7.2 | 136.8 | 76% | 61–62 | ✓ |
Florida
@
Auburn
|
+4.4 | 161.8 | 68% | 67–86 | ✓ |
Duquesne
@
VCU
|
+0.6 | 130.0 | 53% | 57–51 | ✗ |
Temple
@
UAB
|
+4.7 | 144.2 | 64% | 69–85 | ✓ |
Wisconsin
@
Illinois
|
+1.8 | 151.3 | 58% | 87–93 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.