Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CAL +110 STAN -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +11 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | STAN -2.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -1.4 (-9.6) | 151.0 (+12.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -1.9 (-9.1) | 147.5 (+15.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -1.8 (-9.2) | 148.2 (+14.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -1.9 (-9.1) | 149.4 (+13.6) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CAL 72 – 66 STAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | CAL 78 – 66 STAN |
| Mar 12, 2025 | STAN 78 – 73 CAL |
| Feb 23, 2025 | STAN 66 – 61 CAL |
| Dec 7, 2024 | STAN 89 – 81 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#123) | 5.2 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#133) | 0.44 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#120) | 0.75 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#195) | 0.493 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.