Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Utah Valley Wolverines
63 74 OT
FINAL Neutral Conference WAC
California Baptist Lancers
Western Athletic Conference · Orleans Arena (Neutral) · March 14, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UVU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money UVU -250 / CBU +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVU win
Actual CBU +11 137 Lost
Massey UVU -1.5 (-12.5)
Massey Totals 124.8 (+12.2)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 66%
Efficiency Plus ML UVU -2.1 (-13.1) 129.3 (+7.7) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML UVU -1.5 (-12.5) 128.4 (+8.6) 57%
Baseline ML UVU -1.6 (-12.6) 128.6 (+8.4) 54%
Baseline Plus ML UVU -0.9 (-11.9) 130.0 (+7.0) 53%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 15, 2026 CBU 6361 UVU
Feb 20, 2026 UVU 6546 CBU
Jan 25, 2026 CBU 7871 UVU
Dec 30, 2025 UVU 7366 CBU
Jan 24, 2025 UVU 7469 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVU CBU
Overall 16-16 16-17
Conference 11-9 8-12
Home 10-4 11-7
Away 5-10 4-9
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.7 67.1
Avg Pts Against 69.0 67.1
Massey -0.2 (#170) -1.7 (#191)
Bradley-Terry 0.12 (#161) -0.54 (#229)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.14 (#158) -0.52 (#213)
RPI 0.520 (#134) 0.457 (#272)
Shooting & Four Factors UVU CBU
FG% 43.1% 40.9%
3PT% 28.8% 32.8%
REB / G 36.3 37.1
OREB / G 10.3 12.1
AST / TO 1.17 0.92
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 46.8%
TOV% 18.1% 17.7%
ORB% 28.3% 33.1%
FT Rate 23.5% 25.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 15.4%
DRB% 72.9% 75.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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