Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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45–11 on winners spread MAE 8.7 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Marshall @ Louisiana Tech +7.3 150.1 81% 67–77 ✓
San José State @ Fresno State +13.6 126.4 88% 67–69 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas State -0.4 140.1 48% 73–67 ✓
Hartford @ UMBC +5.8 152.6 76% 60–80 ✓
Binghamton @ Vermont +17.9 138.6 89% 42–74 ✓
Clemson @ Virginia Tech +3.5 129.0 63% 75–76 ✓
Rider @ Iona +9.3 137.9 80% 71–70 ✗
Navy @ Colgate +6.0 131.7 77% 58–74 ✓
DePaul @ St. John's +7.1 157.5 71% 73–92 ✓
Georgia @ Vanderbilt +8.7 142.8 83% 51–86 ✓
McNeese @ Northwestern State -1.7 155.9 37% 80–67 ✓
Coppin State @ Howard +4.6 147.1 64% 59–57 ✗
Minnesota @ Penn State +1.9 125.9 65% 51–60 ✓
Old Dominion @ UTEP +0.5 129.1 56% 64–74 ✓
California @ Washington State +7.5 131.2 78% 59–66 ✓
California Baptist @ Sam Houston +3.3 132.4 64% 35–65 ✓
Southern Miss @ Florida Atlantic +13.1 138.7 86% 59–86 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alcorn State +1.3 141.4 58% 63–64 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +4.0 127.0 72% 63–77 ✓
Louisville @ Virginia +4.3 123.8 72% 50–51 ✓
Georgetown @ Seton Hall +9.5 145.7 83% 53–57 ✓
Utah @ Washington -1.0 141.7 49% 70–82 ✗
Utah Valley @ Abilene Christian +0.2 137.9 58% 74–82 ✓
Central Michigan @ Toledo +17.1 147.1 89% 71–72 ✓
Indiana @ Michigan +1.6 137.4 64% 74–69 ✗
Syracuse @ Duke +7.8 153.1 79% 79–88 ✓
Butler @ Providence +6.8 134.6 77% 61–65 ✓
Florida @ Texas A&M -1.5 137.4 47% 80–83 ✗
George Mason @ Fordham -5.0 133.4 34% 49–54 ✗
TCU @ Texas +3.7 126.5 64% 65–60 ✗
East Carolina @ Cincinnati +4.6 136.3 66% 63–74 ✓
Buffalo @ Akron -2.4 140.5 45% 68–70 ✗
Northwestern @ Iowa +7.4 148.9 79% 76–112 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +8.1 135.5 79% 61–83 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Louis +10.9 138.3 83% 51–71 ✓
Boston College @ Miami +5.0 138.6 71% 69–71 ✓
Marquette @ Creighton -1.1 144.7 46% 63–74 ✗
Stanford @ Arizona +12.4 145.2 85% 80–84 ✓
Nevada @ Boise State +7.2 134.2 78% 69–71 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +5.3 136.1 67% 60–58 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State +4.3 137.0 68% 61–72 ✓
Missouri @ LSU +11.0 135.2 84% 68–76 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas +12.1 152.8 86% 63–87 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State +6.1 134.3 75% 73–67 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Kent State +5.6 139.3 74% 75–85 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +3.6 141.0 66% 56–68 ✓
Oregon @ Colorado +0.2 138.9 56% 69–80 ✓
UNLV @ Wyoming +1.3 134.1 57% 56–59 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Irvine -0.6 128.3 49% 78–69 ✓
Mississippi State @ South Carolina -2.9 135.2 37% 73–51 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +4.6 147.6 73% 60–75 ✓
South Carolina State @ Morgan State +1.7 143.2 68% 77–80 ✓
Massachusetts @ George Washington -3.3 150.6 35% 99–88 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +10.3 124.5 85% 50–68 ✓
Ball State @ Ohio +8.6 144.9 80% 67–77 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan State +2.6 138.2 60% 72–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.