Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
| Money | PSU -170 MINN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +9 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -1.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -1.9 (+7.1) | 125.9 (-14.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -1.6 (+7.4) | 129.9 (-18.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -1.7 (+7.3) | 131.4 (-20.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -1.6 (+7.4) | 129.9 (-18.9) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | PSU 77 – 75 MINN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PSU 69 – 60 MINN |
| Feb 5, 2025 | MINN 69 – 61 PSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MINN 75 – 70 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MINN 83 – 74 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#90) | 4.6 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#106) | 1.03 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#97) | 1.24 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#150) | 0.523 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.