Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | HOW -270 COPP +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +2 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -6.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-33.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -4.6 (-6.6) | 147.1 (-31.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -5.1 (-7.1) | 146.4 (-30.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -4.8 (-6.8) | 146.9 (-30.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -6.3 (-8.3) | 148.2 (-32.2) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HOW 90 – 70 COPP |
| Feb 2, 2026 | HOW 72 – 53 COPP |
| Feb 25, 2025 | COPP 72 – 61 HOW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | HOW 90 – 75 COPP |
| Feb 27, 2024 | HOW 78 – 69 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#234) | -9.8 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#258) | -1.94 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#254) | -2.34 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#253) | 0.443 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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