Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +12 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -4.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -3.6 (+8.4) | 141.0 (-17.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -2.8 (+9.2) | 142.4 (-18.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -3.0 (+9.0) | 143.2 (-19.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -2.5 (+9.5) | 144.2 (-20.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#178) | -4.7 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#170) | -0.57 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#164) | -0.53 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#177) | 0.467 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.