Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +18 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -10.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -10.3 (+7.7) | 124.5 (-6.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -9.7 (+8.3) | 128.3 (-10.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -9.2 (+8.8) | 129.3 (-11.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -9.7 (+8.3) | 126.8 (-8.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2026 | RICE 86 – 83 UNT |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNT 67 – 61 RICE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNT 81 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UNT 71 – 55 RICE |
Game Analysis
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