Long Beach State
Beach
72
–
61
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Big West
Cal State Bakersfield
Roadrunners
Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -6.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -4.3 (+6.7) | 137.0 (-4.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -6.2 (+4.8) | 140.6 (-7.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -5.9 (+5.1) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -5.7 (+5.3) | 140.4 (-7.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | LBSU 88 – 87 CSUB |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LBSU 81 – 75 CSUB |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CSUB 88 – 87 LBSU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | CSUB 80 – 65 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LBSU 79 – 66 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 2-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#159) | -5.8 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#123) | -1.66 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#122) | -1.86 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#74) | 0.431 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 35.9% |
Game Analysis
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