Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +36 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -8.5 (+27.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+35.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -7.4 (+28.6) | 148.9 (+39.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -7.8 (+28.2) | 150.7 (+37.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -7.1 (+28.9) | 150.6 (+37.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -7.4 (+28.6) | 151.0 (+37.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | IOWA 76 – 70 NU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NU 68 – 57 IOWA |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IOWA 80 – 79 NU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | IOWA 87 – 80 NU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NU 80 – 60 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#14) | 8.1 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#31) | 1.07 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#24) | 1.38 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#43) | 0.510 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.