Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -2.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -1.1 (+12.1) | 144.7 (-7.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -1.7 (+12.7) | 141.4 (-4.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -1.8 (+12.8) | 142.5 (-5.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -1.5 (+12.5) | 142.1 (-5.1) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 11-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#73) | 10.6 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#30) | 2.37 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#34) | 2.75 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#57) | 0.576 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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