Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | VT -220 CLEM +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | VT -4.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -3.5 (-2.5) | 129.0 (+22.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -2.5 (-1.5) | 131.9 (+19.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -2.5 (-1.5) | 132.2 (+18.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -2.7 (-1.7) | 130.8 (+20.2) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | VT 76 – 66 CLEM |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CLEM 65 – 47 VT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 57 VT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | VT 87 – 72 CLEM |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CLEM 51 – 50 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#29) | 7.4 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#76) | 0.97 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#73) | 1.43 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#73) | 0.528 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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