UC Irvine
Anteaters
69
–
78
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Big West
UC Santa Barbara
Gauchos
Betting Lines
| O/U | 124.0 Over |
| Money | UCI +120 UCSB -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -0.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -0.6 (-8.4) | 128.3 (+18.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -0.4 (-9.4) | 130.6 (+16.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -0.3 (-9.3) | 130.7 (+16.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -0.1 (-8.9) | 129.2 (+17.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCI 64 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCSB 84 – 79 UCI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCI 97 – 88 UCSB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCI 62 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCI 81 – 69 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Home | 9-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.4 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#117) | 2.2 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#126) | -0.18 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#134) | -0.02 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#94) | 0.476 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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