Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORG +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MORG -0.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -1.7 (+1.3) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -1.1 (+1.9) | 141.5 (+15.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -1.3 (+1.7) | 139.9 (+17.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -1.1 (+1.9) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MORG 90 – 83 SCST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORG 72 – 67 SCST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SCST 90 – 62 MORG |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SCST 86 – 72 MORG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SCST 72 – 61 MORG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORG | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-15 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-6 | 7-7 |
| Home | 8-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#308) | -9.9 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#306) | -1.37 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#306) | -2.02 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#274) | 0.429 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORG | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.