Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | IONA -700 RID +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +1 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -11.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -9.3 (-10.3) | 137.9 (+3.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -10.1 (-11.1) | 138.7 (+2.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -9.4 (-10.4) | 138.9 (+2.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -9.1 (-10.1) | 140.3 (+0.7) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | IONA 80 – 58 RID |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RID 74 – 71 IONA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IONA 73 – 67 RID |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RID 78 – 75 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-0 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#89) | -4.6 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#55) | -0.80 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#65) | -0.95 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#17) | 0.452 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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