Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | NWST +105 MCN -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +13 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -2.1 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -1.7 (-11.3) | 155.9 (-8.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -1.2 (-11.8) | 158.2 (-11.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -1.2 (-11.8) | 156.6 (-9.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -1.5 (-11.5) | 158.1 (-11.1) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | MCN 75 – 64 NWST |
| Dec 6, 2025 | MCN 92 – 54 NWST |
| Mar 11, 2025 | MCN 83 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MCN 65 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 7, 2025 | MCN 92 – 69 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 4-10 |
| Home | 6-6 | 6-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#334) | -9.6 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#340) | -2.25 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#330) | -2.46 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#277) | 0.438 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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