Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -1.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+29.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -1.5 (+4.5) | 137.4 (+25.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -0.3 (+3.3) | 139.3 (+23.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -0.6 (+3.6) | 140.5 (+22.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -0.6 (+3.6) | 139.6 (+23.4) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | FLA 86 – 67 TA&M |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FLA 89 – 70 TA&M |
| Mar 16, 2024 | FLA 95 – 90 TA&M |
| Feb 3, 2024 | TA&M 67 – 66 FLA |
| Jan 19, 2023 | TA&M 54 – 52 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-4 | 13-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#57) | 10.4 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#52) | 1.67 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#56) | 1.88 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#70) | 0.548 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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