Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -9.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -8.6 (+1.4) | 144.9 (-0.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -8.1 (+1.9) | 145.7 (-1.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -8.2 (+1.8) | 145.5 (-1.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -8.7 (+1.3) | 145.5 (-1.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OHIO 69 – 57 BALL |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BALL 76 – 71 OHIO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 71 BALL |
| Feb 7, 2024 | OHIO 84 – 79 BALL |
| Mar 9, 2023 | OHIO 90 – 70 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#116) | -6.4 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#111) | -0.76 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#104) | -1.06 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#71) | 0.447 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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