I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–13 on winners spread MAE 9.6 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ UAlbany +4.6 142.5 70% 66–69 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State -4.3 156.1 33% 83–69 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -5.0 141.5 30% 74–83 ✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State +3.5 130.5 67% 70–83 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arizona State -6.4 151.0 29% 85–57 ✓
South Dakota @ Omaha +5.4 162.7 67% 75–100 ✓
Virginia @ Syracuse +1.3 138.7 55% 70–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Louis +5.6 137.7 74% 88–90 ✓
USC @ UCLA +9.0 138.8 81% 63–90 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge +9.8 147.9 84% 73–82 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas +4.3 153.3 68% 76–72 ✗
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -8.0 130.5 19% 71–66 ✓
UT Arlington @ California Baptist +5.5 143.0 72% 68–70 ✓
Furman @ Samford +0.6 152.2 56% 95–78 ✗
Hofstra @ Monmouth -2.5 129.0 42% 60–65 ✗
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +11.1 146.7 86% 77–73 ✗
Old Dominion @ Troy +9.7 130.3 84% 59–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +3.8 137.0 67% 69–48 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton -11.9 146.8 14% 64–59 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -6.0 136.9 24% 70–65 ✓
Houston @ Baylor -3.8 131.2 30% 65–61 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona +3.0 141.9 64% 53–66 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara -4.1 140.0 31% 97–88 ✓
Utah @ BYU +11.4 156.2 85% 74–85 ✓
Nevada @ San Diego State +6.4 134.0 77% 61–80 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +9.3 154.3 84% 69–85 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Davis -14.3 134.1 13% 68–57 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Washington State +3.3 150.0 63% 77–94 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State +7.0 144.0 77% 62–79 ✓
Drexel @ Towson +3.7 131.3 66% 76–82 ✓
Navy @ Bucknell +6.8 144.8 75% 83–77 ✗
Winthrop @ High Point +7.0 155.7 75% 69–81 ✓
Iowa @ Nebraska +5.8 153.8 72% 83–68 ✗
East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic +5.1 152.4 71% 53–81 ✓
Minnesota @ Rutgers +5.0 141.9 69% 67–75 ✓
Colgate @ American University +2.1 135.2 62% 62–72 ✓
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +6.3 146.4 73% 65–76 ✓
North Texas @ Temple -4.6 135.7 26% 61–66 ✗
UAB @ Tulane +0.5 154.0 51% 68–85 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State +10.2 141.3 87% 73–63 ✗
Bradley @ Drake +4.5 123.7 70% 48–63 ✓
Delaware @ William & Mary +2.7 155.6 61% 100–78 ✗
Oregon @ Washington -6.9 147.8 23% 80–73 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +3.3 146.5 62% 80–77 ✗
UTSA @ Charlotte +0.2 148.1 52% 83–80 ✗
Hampton @ UNC Wilmington +6.1 137.7 75% 65–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +6.5 132.6 77% 48–62 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama -1.5 139.0 44% 74–71 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +10.4 140.4 84% 65–85 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +9.9 143.7 85% 52–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.