Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | TULN +130 UAB -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +17 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -0.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -1.3 (+18.3) | 153.5 (-0.5) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -0.5 (+16.5) | 154.0 (-1.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -0.1 (+16.9) | 156.4 (-3.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -0.1 (+17.1) | 156.3 (-3.3) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | TULN 55 – 54 UAB |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UAB 82 – 69 TULN |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UAB 81 – 69 TULN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UAB 78 – 67 TULN |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UAB 83 – 69 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#153) | 3.7 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#179) | 0.64 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#177) | 0.71 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#179) | 0.531 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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