They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–17 on winners spread MAE 8.0 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Arkansas @ Stetson +0.9 146.5 55% 65–75 ✓
UMBC @ NJIT -6.8 143.6 26% 87–64 ✓
UAlbany @ New Hampshire -8.9 140.3 17% 61–57 ✓
James Madison @ Marshall +0.2 138.3 52% 78–80 ✓
Texas State @ Troy +5.2 133.9 74% 74–73 ✗
Oakland @ Wright State +4.6 140.9 71% 62–66 ✓
Charleston @ Hofstra +0.0 138.1 50% 67–61 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Monmouth -3.0 143.5 34% 64–55 ✓
Campbell @ Hampton +5.2 137.3 71% 66–55 ✗
Elon @ William & Mary -0.0 148.7 52% 65–78 ✗
Delaware @ North Carolina A&T -2.6 156.8 38% 98–88 ✓
Drexel @ Stony Brook -6.1 132.0 26% 67–51 ✓
Northeastern @ Towson +0.4 130.5 52% 73–80 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.7 144.9 60% 70–75 ✓
North Florida @ Eastern Kentucky +4.2 164.7 70% 74–79 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee +7.2 149.1 79% 79–84 ✓
Florida International @ Louisiana Tech +5.1 137.2 71% 64–81 ✓
Old Dominion @ Louisiana +3.7 142.5 64% 71–60 ✗
UL Monroe @ Southern Miss +5.2 140.7 71% 67–84 ✓
Queens University @ Lipscomb +13.8 145.1 88% 75–73 ✗
West Georgia @ Austin Peay +5.0 133.5 67% 72–68 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Utah Valley +0.7 139.3 51% 64–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -12.6 153.7 15% 110–96 ✓
VMI @ Samford +12.4 153.4 88% 68–81 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Western Kentucky +3.3 149.5 67% 73–67 ✗
Washington @ Michigan State +13.2 144.5 87% 54–88 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama +2.9 136.3 64% 62–76 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah +7.4 133.1 78% 74–66 ✗
UT Martin @ Western Illinois +0.2 135.2 50% 85–83 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Southeast Missouri State +6.1 137.7 77% 66–77 ✓
Tennessee State @ Lindenwood +2.7 145.5 62% 62–72 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Illinois -0.4 139.2 46% 69–64 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana +5.4 150.9 73% 76–81 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana State +0.4 151.8 49% 83–82 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +7.2 134.8 79% 53–63 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Tech -2.2 148.6 41% 62–74 ✗
North Dakota @ Denver +1.4 152.3 58% 95–70 ✗
Liberty @ Sam Houston -6.5 145.2 26% 76–68 ✓
Pacific @ Washington State +15.8 149.2 89% 95–94 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State -3.4 132.1 37% 80–67 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Portland State +3.2 145.3 65% 59–64 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +16.5 160.4 89% 68–95 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside +3.0 137.5 66% 83–76 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +4.9 132.9 72% 66–78 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge +0.3 147.4 52% 77–67 ✗
Oregon State @ Santa Clara +3.6 147.9 68% 81–82 ✓
Portland @ San Francisco +16.5 148.4 91% 72–81 ✓
Merrimack @ Sacred Heart +0.1 138.3 50% 66–65 ✗
Kent State @ Buffalo -9.7 135.9 17% 68–49 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Niagara +0.4 130.5 50% 60–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.