Spread love- it's the Brooklyn way. "Juicy" - Notorious B.I.G.
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–17 on winners spread MAE 10.1 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan @ Penn State +3.8 151.1 65% 57–66 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central +9.9 136.6 82% 81–87 ✓
Iona @ Fairfield +3.0 142.0 63% 63–68 ✓
DePaul @ Villanova +17.6 135.9 88% 57–58 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +1.5 132.5 55% 78–83 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +1.5 128.4 57% 74–63 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech +10.0 133.1 83% 70–67 ✗
Stanford @ California -1.8 148.2 43% 87–76 ✓
Cincinnati @ Kansas +2.7 142.0 61% 72–52 ✗
Alabama State @ Grambling +1.0 131.5 56% 50–56 ✓
Missouri @ Georgia +4.6 145.0 69% 59–64 ✓
Boston College @ Clemson +5.4 142.9 72% 76–55 ✗
Montana State @ Montana +4.3 146.6 69% 85–70 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Santa Barbara +1.0 143.8 54% 87–84 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin +2.6 140.4 59% 57–60 ✓
Arizona State @ Utah +7.2 142.7 76% 57–90 ✓
Kent State @ Toledo +4.1 151.4 67% 67–59 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Richmond +1.6 137.1 55% 66–61 ✗
Xavier @ UConn +9.9 146.7 81% 60–87 ✓
Florida State @ North Carolina +10.1 151.3 82% 67–92 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan State +5.8 134.7 71% 67–77 ✓
BYU @ Texas Tech -3.3 146.5 36% 67–81 ✗
Tulsa @ East Carolina -0.6 138.8 48% 79–84 ✗
Mississippi State @ LSU -4.1 145.4 34% 70–60 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan -1.9 134.7 41% 66–56 ✓
VCU @ Massachusetts +0.6 139.5 53% 73–59 ✗
Maryland @ Wisconsin +3.4 132.5 63% 56–87 ✓
St. John's @ Seton Hall +1.2 146.6 55% 91–72 ✗
Wichita State @ Memphis +7.3 150.4 77% 71–65 ✗
Wake Forest @ Pittsburgh +0.5 142.9 54% 69–81 ✓
USC @ Arizona +12.2 158.9 85% 49–70 ✓
Fresno State @ Utah State +13.9 143.2 87% 75–87 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Southern +2.6 140.8 61% 62–73 ✓
TCU @ Houston +9.3 138.3 82% 45–60 ✓
Arkansas @ South Carolina +6.3 144.8 74% 66–80 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Akron +7.0 132.1 77% 63–75 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Loyola Chicago +1.2 137.0 55% 75–74 ✗
UCLA @ Oregon +3.1 132.8 61% 66–68 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -0.9 133.6 47% 74–71 ✓
Morgan State @ Howard +5.0 149.9 71% 65–78 ✓
Ohio State @ Iowa -1.4 150.9 45% 90–78 ✓
Niagara @ Marist +1.9 127.7 57% 59–65 ✓
UTEP @ Liberty +2.5 134.3 60% 66–57 ✗
Western Michigan @ Ohio +7.8 143.5 79% 55–82 ✓
Kansas State @ Iowa State +8.3 134.5 79% 57–76 ✓
Providence @ Creighton +6.8 141.3 76% 78–73 ✗
NC State @ Duke +9.0 147.7 80% 74–69 ✗
Tulane @ North Texas +3.8 142.1 66% 71–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ Texas A&M +3.2 139.5 62% 71–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.