This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–17 on winners spread MAE 8.4 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
LSU @ Tennessee +13.8 151.1 88% 68–88 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan -5.8 148.2 26% 68–72 ✗
Alabama @ Auburn +3.8 167.1 64% 81–99 ✓
Louisville @ Syracuse +10.3 148.7 84% 92–94 ✓
Pittsburgh @ NC State +2.5 140.7 60% 67–64 ✗
Army @ Lehigh +6.8 129.7 74% 68–57 ✗
Valparaiso @ Indiana State +16.9 151.3 90% 61–101 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood +7.6 140.2 78% 69–64 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Presbyterian -2.4 146.2 40% 75–77 ✗
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +6.9 131.9 77% 59–75 ✓
Villanova @ Xavier +3.2 143.3 68% 53–56 ✓
Colgate @ Boston University -7.0 129.6 23% 74–64 ✓
Davidson @ Duquesne +5.8 134.1 73% 72–59 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ George Mason +4.8 135.5 68% 85–79 ✗
Massachusetts @ St. Bonaventure +3.5 143.2 67% 73–79 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ American University +9.8 137.5 86% 44–43 ✗
Bucknell @ Navy -0.1 131.9 46% 80–67 ✓
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +2.5 143.2 63% 50–57 ✓
Furman @ Mercer -1.8 145.0 43% 69–78 ✗
The Citadel @ Western Carolina +8.6 141.6 82% 64–71 ✓
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.3 148.5 69% 75–72 ✗
Marshall @ Troy +7.1 148.3 79% 66–82 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +12.0 144.2 85% 81–76 ✗
UTSA @ Wichita State +8.8 152.3 82% 64–84 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ UL Monroe +4.8 147.9 72% 75–79 ✓
North Texas @ Tulsa -2.3 132.2 40% 68–55 ✓
SMU @ Rice -9.3 141.2 19% 95–69 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa +3.1 140.1 66% 65–72 ✓
UIC @ Illinois State +1.1 130.9 56% 61–56 ✗
Bradley @ Evansville -5.6 143.1 30% 70–73 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Drake +9.6 139.1 82% 88–92 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +1.7 144.4 59% 64–69 ✓
Portland @ Gonzaga +21.3 153.8 91% 64–96 ✓
Old Dominion @ Southern Miss +5.1 139.6 70% 73–78 ✓
Georgia State @ Louisiana +10.6 145.5 85% 78–69 ✗
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama +5.1 148.3 69% 65–78 ✓
James Madison @ Arkansas State -5.8 157.1 24% 77–73 ✓
App State @ Texas State -7.9 134.2 23% 56–63 ✗
Creighton @ Providence -0.5 143.3 50% 87–91 ✗
Notre Dame @ Duke +15.9 134.5 89% 53–71 ✓
UCLA @ Stanford +4.7 136.9 68% 82–74 ✗
Nebraska @ Northwestern +2.8 148.6 66% 68–80 ✓
Texas A&M @ Missouri -3.9 138.7 32% 79–60 ✓
Georgia @ Mississippi State +5.6 142.0 73% 62–75 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Eastern Kentucky +4.2 143.3 71% 82–90 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ San Diego +0.6 145.8 56% 77–79 ✓
USC @ California +2.0 147.7 60% 77–83 ✓
Chattanooga @ VMI -12.6 152.9 14% 88–84 ✓
UAlbany @ Binghamton +1.6 150.3 57% 57–69 ✓
Milwaukee @ Youngstown State +12.1 153.5 87% 85–97 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.