And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–12 on winners spread MAE 10.0 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Clemson @ North Carolina +9.1 150.4 81% 80–76 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Houston +18.3 130.7 90% 63–79 ✓
Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech -4.8 149.9 36% 80–51 ✓
Florida State @ Boston College +3.3 146.4 67% 63–62 ✗
Indiana @ Ohio State +6.4 144.9 73% 76–73 ✗
Rhode Island @ George Washington +4.9 156.2 72% 88–65 ✗
VCU @ Fordham -4.2 135.4 32% 75–60 ✓
Canisius @ Niagara +2.9 146.4 67% 64–69 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) +4.4 147.3 68% 62–59 ✗
Ohio @ Ball State +0.3 146.3 51% 84–79 ✗
Central Michigan @ Akron +11.9 133.2 87% 47–68 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +8.9 146.7 82% 61–63 ✓
Buffalo @ Bowling Green +11.6 145.8 87% 73–87 ✓
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan -11.6 145.6 15% 91–87 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas +0.1 142.4 50% 70–65 ✗
Dayton @ Saint Joseph's -3.3 141.4 37% 94–79 ✓
BYU @ Oklahoma -0.9 145.7 47% 66–82 ✗
UT Martin @ Little Rock +0.8 157.0 53% 57–77 ✓
Butler @ UConn +12.5 151.0 86% 62–71 ✓
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt -11.1 152.9 17% 109–77 ✓
New Mexico @ Wyoming -10.5 152.4 17% 91–73 ✓
Texas Tech @ Baylor +6.8 151.4 76% 73–79 ✓
Nevada @ Utah State +6.0 147.8 74% 77–63 ✗
Boise State @ Colorado State +5.0 143.3 70% 62–75 ✓
Charlotte @ South Florida +2.7 132.8 66% 69–72 ✓
Michigan State @ Minnesota -2.6 136.3 39% 56–59 ✗
Fresno State @ San José State +1.9 142.3 60% 69–57 ✗
San Diego State @ Air Force -11.7 137.6 15% 77–64 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Pacific -16.7 132.3 13% 84–43 ✓
High Point @ UNC Asheville +0.6 154.7 53% 81–86 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +10.6 143.7 86% 46–67 ✓
Georgetown @ Seton Hall +12.4 146.1 88% 70–76 ✓
Saint Louis @ La Salle +4.3 146.8 69% 102–84 ✗
Stetson @ Bellarmine -3.5 141.9 34% 84–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.