If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–9 on winners spread MAE 9.6 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ Virginia +3.5 126.5 68% 38–60 ✓
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana +4.7 137.6 70% 64–76 ✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +9.3 147.8 84% 66–73 ✓
Houston Christian @ New Orleans +2.0 153.6 59% 58–84 ✓
Howard @ Delaware State +0.8 141.4 53% 75–71 ✗
Coppin State @ South Carolina State +7.9 132.8 79% 65–77 ✓
Morgan State @ North Carolina Central +10.5 143.8 87% 79–72 ✗
Norfolk State @ Maryland Eastern Shore -7.7 130.0 20% 60–69 ✗
East Texas A&M @ McNeese +16.7 139.8 90% 51–77 ✓
Grambling @ Alcorn State +0.9 135.5 57% 78–67 ✗
Florida A&M @ Alabama State +8.4 136.4 81% 53–62 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama A&M -2.3 146.8 37% 68–72 ✗
Kansas @ Kansas State -4.0 142.4 33% 70–75 ✗
Idaho @ Sacramento State +1.9 132.5 60% 61–45 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M +3.8 157.7 68% 74–75 ✓
Southern @ Jackson State +0.2 143.7 51% 72–63 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Portland State -2.0 144.5 41% 90–77 ✓
Ole Miss @ South Carolina +6.4 135.4 75% 65–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Maryland +4.7 123.6 69% 56–53 ✗
DePaul @ St. John's +19.9 144.5 90% 57–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.