This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
36–10 on winners spread MAE 10.0 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boise State @ Virginia Tech +4.7 142.3 69% 75–82 ✓
Stanford @ Michigan +5.1 157.5 71% 78–83 ✓
NC State @ Vanderbilt -10.4 138.4 17% 84–78 ✓
BYU @ Arizona State -13.0 138.4 17% 77–49 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida Atlantic -4.1 144.8 30% 89–96 ✗
Kansas City @ UNC Greensboro +6.1 145.3 75% 64–76 ✓
Mercer @ Tennessee State +0.1 141.2 54% 60–59 ✗
Bryant @ Xavier +10.3 134.2 81% 75–100 ✓
Arkansas @ North Carolina +5.9 150.0 74% 72–87 ✓
Jacksonville State @ UTSA +3.5 142.0 58% 77–62 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Wake Forest +16.9 150.0 89% 56–71 ✓
Delaware @ Brown -9.1 141.7 20% 67–59 ✓
Penn State @ Butler +1.5 141.7 51% 78–88 ✓
Manhattan @ UConn +18.2 144.5 88% 60–90 ✓
Nicholls @ Mississippi State +16.1 141.7 88% 61–74 ✓
Lipscomb @ UNC Asheville -15.7 153.8 14% 86–75 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Ball State +12.5 151.4 87% 74–92 ✓
Evansville @ Chattanooga +3.0 133.9 57% 85–77 ✗
Indiana State @ Toledo -2.5 160.6 39% 76–74 ✓
Alabama State @ North Carolina A&T -1.9 153.8 42% 88–73 ✓
Long Island University @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +6.1 143.0 76% 83–68 ✗
Monmouth @ Belmont -4.2 154.4 31% 93–84 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Western Michigan -0.8 139.0 48% 67–68 ✗
Delaware State @ Longwood +15.2 141.7 88% 82–84 ✓
Oregon State @ Pittsburgh +11.8 148.4 81% 51–76 ✓
Oklahoma @ USC -5.3 141.3 27% 72–70 ✓
Memphis @ Villanova +1.4 143.9 52% 63–79 ✓
Montana @ Houston +23.0 131.2 91% 44–79 ✓
Jacksonville @ Robert Morris +10.9 143.0 83% 74–65 ✗
Davidson @ Saint Mary's +0.2 125.7 43% 55–89 ✓
Utah Tech @ Washington State +12.9 147.7 84% 53–93 ✓
Merrimack @ Samford +3.4 142.5 57% 71–79 ✓
UC Irvine @ Rice -13.4 147.7 14% 83–68 ✓
Canisius @ Wofford -1.8 152.7 43% 76–67 ✓
Lafayette @ Pennsylvania +11.6 139.4 86% 72–74 ✓
UIC @ Middle Tennessee -3.2 126.0 38% 70–40 ✓
Winthrop @ Georgia +2.5 140.3 60% 69–78 ✓
Grambling @ Troy +12.7 145.6 86% 67–80 ✓
Baylor @ Florida -1.7 157.1 41% 95–91 ✓
Iowa State @ Virginia Tech -10.2 144.2 19% 62–71 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Duke +23.4 146.3 91% 62–80 ✓
UC San Diego @ Idaho -10.6 143.8 17% 70–73 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Lamar +4.1 145.7 66% 65–83 ✓
Seton Hall @ Iowa +1.8 146.3 57% 72–85 ✓
Michigan @ Texas Tech -1.2 141.0 46% 57–73 ✗
New Mexico @ Pepperdine -6.3 145.9 25% 90–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.