Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–7 on winners spread MAE 10.4 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ Oregon State -10.6 154.3 18% 88–72 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Cincinnati +14.0 149.4 86% 54–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Missouri +14.3 149.1 88% 59–82 ✓
Pepperdine @ Indiana State +7.0 153.9 78% 82–90 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Cleveland State +8.0 140.8 79% 70–72 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Queens University +4.0 147.4 66% 84–97 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Notre Dame +5.8 138.5 73% 55–75 ✓
Maine @ South Florida +7.8 133.2 73% 70–59 ✗
Bucknell @ St. Bonaventure +6.3 133.0 70% 61–67 ✓
Hofstra @ High Point -3.8 151.4 36% 97–92 ✓
Alabama State @ Samford +4.9 146.3 64% 67–99 ✓
Alcorn State @ UT Arlington +9.1 149.0 80% 69–82 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Incarnate Word +5.7 140.5 70% 66–67 ✓
South Dakota State @ Southern Miss +4.0 143.8 62% 65–54 ✗
Idaho @ Seattle U +9.5 136.4 80% 55–92 ✓
Duquesne @ Nebraska +9.1 144.8 78% 79–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Kansas State +10.9 145.6 82% 56–100 ✓
Stanford @ Arkansas +2.2 156.0 59% 74–77 ✓
Wisconsin @ SMU -1.0 141.0 46% 69–61 ✓
James Madison @ Fresno State -6.3 158.8 22% 95–64 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ San Francisco +4.6 143.1 59% 60–76 ✓
UC Riverside @ Montana State +6.3 129.5 71% 68–69 ✓
Florida @ Pittsburgh +6.0 157.0 74% 86–71 ✗
Rice @ New Mexico +7.3 155.9 77% 56–90 ✓
UTEP @ Bradley +6.5 143.4 77% 59–63 ✓
Toledo @ UC Irvine +2.5 147.5 60% 71–77 ✓
Gonzaga @ UCLA -1.8 131.6 39% 69–65 ✓
California @ Tulane +8.6 150.0 81% 81–84 ✓
Penn State @ Texas A&M +2.6 132.0 64% 77–89 ✓
Texas Tech @ Northern Iowa -5.5 139.9 26% 72–70 ✓
Boston College @ Loyola Chicago -6.9 143.3 23% 68–71 ✗
Villanova @ North Carolina -0.1 142.1 51% 83–81 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Butler +4.1 137.9 69% 91–86 ✗
Oklahoma @ Iowa -0.1 151.5 52% 79–67 ✓
Michigan State @ Arizona +10.2 139.5 83% 68–74 ✓
Colorado State @ Creighton +1.6 156.0 53% 69–48 ✗
Seton Hall @ USC -4.9 139.3 28% 63–71 ✗
Iowa State @ VCU -12.6 134.5 18% 68–64 ✓
Arkansas @ Memphis +3.1 146.0 66% 79–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.