Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–13 on winners spread MAE 9.7 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ UAlbany +4.4 142.7 74% 66–69 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State -3.2 155.2 32% 83–69 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -4.3 141.4 32% 74–83 ✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State +3.3 130.3 68% 70–83 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arizona State -6.6 151.4 29% 85–57 ✓
South Dakota @ Omaha +5.0 162.3 71% 75–100 ✓
Virginia @ Syracuse +0.7 139.5 50% 70–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Louis +5.8 139.2 75% 88–90 ✓
USC @ UCLA +9.2 140.7 81% 63–90 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge +9.7 147.5 86% 73–82 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas +3.9 155.6 69% 76–72 ✗
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -9.0 130.9 18% 71–66 ✓
UT Arlington @ California Baptist +5.7 143.3 74% 68–70 ✓
Furman @ Samford +2.2 152.3 56% 95–78 ✗
Hofstra @ Monmouth -2.5 130.4 41% 60–65 ✗
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +11.1 148.0 85% 77–73 ✗
Old Dominion @ Troy +10.4 129.8 84% 59–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +3.5 140.0 69% 69–48 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton -12.1 147.9 14% 64–59 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -6.5 138.6 27% 70–65 ✓
Houston @ Baylor -2.8 131.9 31% 65–61 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona +3.0 143.4 66% 53–66 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara -3.8 140.6 33% 97–88 ✓
Utah @ BYU +10.6 154.7 86% 74–85 ✓
Nevada @ San Diego State +6.4 135.2 78% 61–80 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +9.2 153.3 83% 69–85 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Davis -15.5 136.7 12% 68–57 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Washington State +3.0 149.9 65% 77–94 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State +6.9 141.4 73% 62–79 ✓
Drexel @ Towson +3.2 131.9 64% 76–82 ✓
Navy @ Bucknell +5.9 145.2 74% 83–77 ✗
Winthrop @ High Point +6.3 156.8 72% 69–81 ✓
Iowa @ Nebraska +5.8 155.3 73% 83–68 ✗
East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic +5.0 153.5 71% 53–81 ✓
Minnesota @ Rutgers +5.3 143.2 68% 67–75 ✓
Colgate @ American University +2.2 136.3 66% 62–72 ✓
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +5.7 148.4 74% 65–76 ✓
North Texas @ Temple -4.5 137.0 23% 61–66 ✗
UAB @ Tulane +0.1 156.4 48% 68–85 ✓
Tulsa @ Wichita State +10.4 140.1 87% 73–63 ✗
Bradley @ Drake +3.6 123.1 64% 48–63 ✓
Delaware @ William & Mary +3.3 153.8 60% 100–78 ✗
Oregon @ Washington -6.9 149.3 25% 80–73 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +2.7 147.0 61% 80–77 ✗
UTSA @ Charlotte +0.1 149.2 51% 83–80 ✗
Hampton @ UNC Wilmington +6.4 139.3 75% 65–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +6.2 132.8 78% 48–62 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama -0.7 141.9 38% 74–71 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +10.8 142.1 85% 65–85 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +9.9 144.6 83% 52–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.