Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–17 on winners spread MAE 10.2 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan @ Penn State +3.4 150.8 69% 57–66 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central +9.9 135.1 85% 81–87 ✓
Iona @ Fairfield +3.1 142.7 67% 63–68 ✓
DePaul @ Villanova +21.1 136.7 89% 57–58 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside +1.2 133.2 58% 78–83 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +1.6 128.6 54% 74–63 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Louisiana Tech +10.1 133.3 83% 70–67 ✗
Stanford @ California -1.9 149.4 40% 87–76 ✓
Cincinnati @ Kansas +2.5 143.1 62% 72–52 ✗
Alabama State @ Grambling +1.0 130.4 54% 50–56 ✓
Missouri @ Georgia +4.2 145.2 70% 59–64 ✓
Boston College @ Clemson +5.0 142.2 71% 76–55 ✗
Montana State @ Montana +4.5 147.9 67% 85–70 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Santa Barbara +0.9 144.3 54% 87–84 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin +2.1 140.0 57% 57–60 ✓
Arizona State @ Utah +6.7 144.7 74% 57–90 ✓
Kent State @ Toledo +4.1 152.3 67% 67–59 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Richmond +1.5 138.2 56% 66–61 ✗
Xavier @ UConn +9.7 147.5 81% 60–87 ✓
Florida State @ North Carolina +9.6 150.0 82% 67–92 ✓
Minnesota @ Michigan State +5.7 133.4 71% 67–77 ✓
BYU @ Texas Tech -3.1 146.4 35% 67–81 ✗
Tulsa @ East Carolina -0.7 140.0 45% 79–84 ✗
Mississippi State @ LSU -4.3 147.2 33% 70–60 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan -2.1 135.0 40% 66–56 ✓
VCU @ Massachusetts +0.5 140.2 56% 73–59 ✗
Maryland @ Wisconsin +2.7 133.5 65% 56–87 ✓
St. John's @ Seton Hall +1.2 147.7 51% 91–72 ✗
Wichita State @ Memphis +6.8 152.1 77% 71–65 ✗
Wake Forest @ Pittsburgh +0.4 144.4 54% 69–81 ✓
USC @ Arizona +12.3 157.2 85% 49–70 ✓
Fresno State @ Utah State +13.9 143.9 87% 75–87 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Southern +2.8 141.3 67% 62–73 ✓
TCU @ Houston +9.0 138.3 83% 45–60 ✓
Arkansas @ South Carolina +6.2 144.3 76% 66–80 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Akron +6.6 133.1 75% 63–75 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Loyola Chicago +0.9 138.0 56% 75–74 ✗
UCLA @ Oregon +2.7 133.9 64% 66–68 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -0.9 132.8 49% 74–71 ✓
Morgan State @ Howard +5.2 150.0 74% 65–78 ✓
Ohio State @ Iowa -1.2 152.2 44% 90–78 ✓
Niagara @ Marist +2.0 127.5 59% 59–65 ✓
UTEP @ Liberty +2.4 134.4 61% 66–57 ✗
Western Michigan @ Ohio +6.6 142.8 78% 55–82 ✓
Kansas State @ Iowa State +7.8 133.5 80% 57–76 ✓
Providence @ Creighton +6.8 141.5 75% 78–73 ✗
NC State @ Duke +8.9 148.2 79% 74–69 ✗
Tulane @ North Texas +3.7 143.3 71% 71–81 ✓
Ole Miss @ Texas A&M +3.1 140.4 64% 71–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.