Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–11 on winners spread MAE 10.6 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duquesne @ Dayton +4.8 134.6 65% 65–57 ✗
Delaware State @ South Carolina State +0.2 138.1 54% 71–58 ✗
Stanford @ Washington State +5.9 144.7 73% 62–79 ✓
Penn State @ Indiana -0.7 146.3 50% 59–61 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Rider -0.9 129.3 48% 50–48 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +2.7 142.1 63% 68–75 ✓
California Baptist @ Seattle U +2.8 130.2 64% 57–81 ✓
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky +6.3 144.1 75% 69–89 ✓
Temple @ SMU +9.2 140.2 81% 75–60 ✗
Colorado State @ Nevada +0.7 137.3 55% 85–78 ✗
Villanova @ Marquette +3.9 137.6 68% 65–71 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Southern +2.6 132.7 54% 73–58 ✗
Boston College @ Virginia +0.6 126.7 58% 60–66 ✓
Cincinnati @ Baylor +2.3 146.3 61% 56–68 ✓
Georgia @ Florida +6.1 152.2 75% 80–85 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Arlington +1.9 142.4 63% 78–109 ✓
Utah @ Colorado +0.7 150.7 58% 58–72 ✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State +1.1 146.7 55% 67–86 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State -1.0 151.6 45% 76–66 ✓
Michigan State @ Purdue +7.1 137.7 76% 62–67 ✓
UTEP @ Sam Houston +2.2 133.5 61% 65–63 ✗
Mississippi State @ Tennessee +7.8 143.3 76% 73–56 ✗
East Carolina @ South Florida +8.0 138.4 79% 59–81 ✓
Wisconsin @ Northwestern -1.7 140.9 46% 70–61 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +1.5 131.6 53% 53–65 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky +5.3 146.2 73% 54–85 ✓
Wichita State @ UAB +2.8 148.7 62% 60–72 ✓
South Carolina @ Auburn +7.5 143.8 74% 55–86 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green -1.9 138.9 41% 73–60 ✓
St. John's @ UConn +11.2 151.6 86% 90–95 ✓
Howard @ Norfolk State +2.7 142.7 60% 80–74 ✗
Ohio State @ Illinois +3.8 150.7 64% 74–77 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +1.7 132.1 66% 62–60 ✗
Texas Tech @ Houston +7.5 128.1 77% 59–82 ✓
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina +4.7 147.1 67% 65–72 ✓
Texas A&M @ Kentucky +2.6 156.6 62% 97–87 ✗
North Texas @ Florida Atlantic +4.2 138.2 67% 71–77 ✓
Ohio @ Akron +2.0 137.8 56% 62–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.