Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–17 on winners spread MAE 9.6 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Long Island University @ Miami +17.9 148.4 88% 49–97 ✓
Penn State @ Maryland +4.2 136.0 69% 75–81 ✓
Florida A&M @ Presbyterian +11.6 143.3 86% 65–60 ✗
Campbell @ Davidson +12.8 133.7 85% 50–62 ✓
Wofford @ Gardner-Webb +6.1 148.1 75% 81–66 ✗
Valparaiso @ Central Michigan +3.8 138.5 64% 67–71 ✓
Bryant @ Siena -8.2 126.7 16% 67–51 ✓
Robert Morris @ Canisius +11.9 143.6 84% 80–87 ✓
Vermont @ Northeastern +2.2 140.5 61% 73–71 ✗
Wagner @ Coppin State -3.3 123.3 40% 62–59 ✓
NJIT @ Fordham +17.7 142.1 88% 80–77 ✗
Youngstown State @ Ohio +5.8 149.2 70% 78–72 ✗
Ball State @ Detroit Mercy -1.2 132.8 34% 68–65 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ NC State +19.9 148.8 90% 61–93 ✓
Old Dominion @ William & Mary +2.2 151.0 58% 79–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Marshall -3.7 151.5 34% 85–72 ✓
Hofstra @ Iona -0.9 150.8 49% 62–57 ✓
Massachusetts @ Towson -5.0 135.6 31% 71–81 ✗
Sacred Heart @ St. John's +14.4 148.3 87% 50–85 ✓
Toledo @ Oakland +5.7 149.4 76% 69–68 ✗
Brown @ Rhode Island +6.0 142.2 67% 67–64 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Ohio State +18.8 144.3 89% 64–84 ✓
Maine @ Boston University +3.0 128.7 60% 74–65 ✗
American University @ Saint Joseph's +14.1 142.0 85% 53–69 ✓
Fairfield @ Yale +11.9 147.1 82% 75–71 ✗
Memphis @ VCU +1.9 138.4 58% 85–80 ✗
Jacksonville @ UCF +13.0 146.6 86% 52–94 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Niagara -4.2 140.2 34% 94–60 ✓
New Hampshire @ Dartmouth -4.4 139.0 36% 64–76 ✗
Rice @ Houston +28.2 131.5 91% 39–75 ✓
Texas @ Marquette +13.8 146.4 84% 65–86 ✓
South Carolina @ Clemson +8.5 139.0 74% 67–72 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +8.6 144.4 69% 76–74 ✗
Milwaukee @ St. Thomas +12.2 136.9 85% 71–75 ✓
San Francisco @ Vanderbilt -6.3 135.2 26% 73–60 ✓
Saint Louis @ Drake +16.0 153.0 89% 69–75 ✓
Green Bay @ SIU Edwardsville +2.9 129.8 62% 69–78 ✓
Richmond @ Northern Iowa -2.7 147.0 41% 73–78 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Southern Indiana -7.8 143.4 21% 70–57 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Abilene Christian +4.6 135.9 66% 78–76 ✗
Omaha @ Texas Tech +12.2 143.9 85% 58–87 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Illinois State +3.6 134.6 66% 59–62 ✓
Lipscomb @ Belmont +4.1 155.3 67% 71–72 ✓
Denver @ Colorado State +18.7 156.3 89% 80–90 ✓
DePaul @ Texas A&M +18.7 148.1 88% 64–89 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ New Mexico +16.7 156.9 87% 61–84 ✓
Nebraska @ Minnesota +1.9 145.5 61% 65–76 ✓
San Diego @ Utah State +16.3 140.1 86% 81–108 ✓
UC Davis @ Nevada +20.1 141.6 89% 68–80 ✓
Pittsburgh @ West Virginia -4.0 135.7 34% 80–63 ✓
SMU @ Arizona State +3.5 134.5 67% 74–76 ✓
UC Riverside @ Washington State +18.1 138.9 88% 49–86 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Pepperdine +6.8 139.8 75% 60–55 ✗
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +6.8 138.4 72% 72–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.