The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–8 on winners spread MAE 10.2 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Providence @ Oklahoma +10.2 144.3 80% 51–72 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +3.2 131.9 61% 70–57 ✗
Stetson @ Charlotte +9.2 131.4 73% 62–85 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Kennesaw State +6.2 159.6 79% 76–79 ✓
Lafayette @ Columbia +12.1 134.3 86% 72–83 ✓
Bradley @ Akron +2.7 141.0 61% 52–67 ✓
Drexel @ Princeton +13.4 130.7 83% 70–81 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Liberty +33.7 137.9 91% 39–74 ✓
Western Carolina @ High Point +3.9 152.5 61% 71–97 ✓
Western Michigan @ Notre Dame +5.2 128.3 71% 65–86 ✓
Navy @ George Washington +11.9 139.3 83% 77–79 ✓
Merrimack @ Florida +12.2 150.0 82% 57–77 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Virginia +17.2 127.9 88% 47–77 ✓
Villanova @ Kansas State +3.9 148.3 68% 71–72 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Stephen F. Austin +2.7 137.3 62% 56–49 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Georgia +4.3 141.7 68% 62–76 ✓
Missouri State @ Middle Tennessee -3.9 129.3 39% 73–77 ✗
Kansas City @ Kansas +18.5 143.1 89% 69–88 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Ole Miss +9.0 137.0 74% 68–77 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Illinois +1.3 162.0 59% 90–67 ✗
Cornell @ Syracuse +2.1 154.1 62% 70–81 ✓
Weber State @ Utah Valley +1.0 125.2 57% 54–70 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Tulsa +4.1 136.4 67% 77–88 ✓
Buffalo @ Butler +26.5 151.0 91% 59–72 ✓
North Carolina @ UConn +2.6 153.3 61% 76–87 ✓
Seton Hall @ Baylor +16.2 152.2 86% 60–78 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Gonzaga +27.7 159.4 91% 71–111 ✓
Evansville @ BYU +20.9 155.2 90% 55–96 ✓
San Diego State @ Grand Canyon +2.6 149.5 68% 73–79 ✓
North Texas @ Boise State +2.5 130.6 61% 64–69 ✓
Indiana @ Michigan +4.2 148.3 68% 78–75 ✗
Southern Utah @ Utah +15.8 151.3 88% 86–88 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Southern Illinois +10.8 140.5 79% 68–70 ✓
Pacific @ Idaho +8.4 140.9 77% 53–83 ✓
Kent State @ South Dakota State +2.9 148.3 59% 82–73 ✗
Cleveland State @ Saint Mary's +5.8 134.2 74% 57–70 ✓
Idaho State @ Fresno State +0.9 136.0 52% 67–79 ✓
Montana State @ Washington +15.9 144.0 85% 61–85 ✓
South Alabama @ Mercer +5.7 143.6 70% 83–62 ✗
UMBC @ Morgan State -0.8 156.9 45% 80–92 ✗
Rutgers @ Wake Forest +1.9 136.9 57% 57–76 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ La Salle +8.7 148.9 76% 61–62 ✓
Stonehill @ Stony Brook +10.2 140.7 87% 63–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.