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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.1
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+10.1 | 162.4 | 85% | 68–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.0 | 139.3 | 58% | 78–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.8 | 156.1 | 77% | 83–97 | ✓ |
|
|
+25.0 | 160.5 | 90% | 65–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.4 | 142.3 | 73% | 63–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.9 | 141.8 | 83% | 68–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.7 | 133.5 | 54% | 51–68 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.3 | 145.5 | 51% | 89–98 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.7 | 140.6 | 80% | 66–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.4 | 149.3 | 82% | 82–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.4 | 142.8 | 76% | 87–80 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.