Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -138 LEM +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +17 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -0.9 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -0.6 (+16.4) | 132.0 (-13.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -1.7 (+15.3) | 133.5 (-14.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -0.4 (+16.6) | 132.6 (-13.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -0.1 (+16.9) | 133.0 (-14.0) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | ARMY 103 – 100 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-7 |
| Home | 6-11 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.9 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#347) | -9.0 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.74 (#357) | -0.68 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.82 (#358) | -0.63 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.348 (#352) | 0.461 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 12.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 60.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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