Betting Lines
| Spread | XAV -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
| Money | XAV -700 DEL +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | XAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | XAV -9.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | XAV -10.7 (-17.7) | 144.8 (+22.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | XAV -7.4 (-14.4) | 142.0 (+25.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | XAV -7.4 (-14.4) | 142.8 (+24.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | XAV -6.9 (-13.9) | 144.6 (+22.4) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | XAV | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#48) | 4.9 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#193) | 1.08 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#124) | 1.78 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#130) | 0.553 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | XAV | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.