Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.0 Under |
| Money | ALA -10000 ARST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +24 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -26.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -25.0 (-1.0) | 160.5 (-6.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -25.0 (-1.0) | 160.5 (-6.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -22.9 (+1.1) | 158.9 (-4.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -25.1 (-1.1) | 159.2 (-5.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | ALA 88 – 79 ARST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 90.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#10) | -4.4 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#55) | -2.14 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#52) | -3.45 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.649 (#16) | 0.390 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 38.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
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