Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | ORST -900 CP +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +7 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | ORST -8.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -6.6 (+0.4) | 142.4 (-9.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -6.0 (+1.0) | 143.4 (-10.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -6.4 (+0.6) | 142.3 (-9.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -5.8 (+1.2) | 141.6 (-8.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 0-20 |
| Home | 12-6 | 3-11 |
| Away | 1-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#239) | -6.3 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#190) | -0.22 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#177) | -0.90 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#109) | 0.454 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 35.6% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.