You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
43–6 on winners spread MAE 9.8 87 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Charleston @ North Carolina +12.5 141.9 83% 86–102 ✓
Duquesne @ Kentucky +11.5 148.6 76% 52–77 ✓
Villanova @ Temple +1.2 146.1 62% 64–68 ✓
SMU @ Dayton +12.1 136.9 79% 62–74 ✓
Bowling Green @ Oakland — — — 87–82 —
Iona @ Hofstra +10.2 142.4 74% 78–83 ✓
Old Dominion @ Drexel — — — 59–71 —
Mount St. Mary's @ Coppin State +4.6 146.7 69% 78–83 ✓
McNeese @ Tulane — — — 58–75 —
Northern Iowa @ Richmond — — — 55–68 —
Longwood @ George Mason +4.5 133.2 72% 69–83 ✓
Bryant @ Dartmouth — — — 89–70 —
Belmont @ Furman — — — 74–89 —
Cal State Bakersfield @ Utah — — — 44–72 —
Austin Peay @ Purdue +28.1 143.4 91% 44–63 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Minnesota — — — 54–72 —
Kansas State @ California -6.8 144.2 41% 63–54 ✓
Southern Miss @ Vanderbilt — — — 60–48 —
Florida Atlantic @ Ole Miss — — — 67–80 —
Kennesaw State @ Florida — — — 78–88 —
West Virginia @ Pittsburgh +11.9 139.0 78% 81–56 ✗
Campbell @ NC State — — — 67–73 —
UNC Greensboro @ Miami — — — 65–79 —
Florida State @ UCF +8.5 154.6 76% 54–68 ✓
Clemson @ South Carolina +6.6 151.4 71% 58–60 ✓
Stanford @ Wisconsin +2.1 144.8 67% 50–60 ✓
Mississippi State @ Akron -3.4 137.3 34% 73–54 ✓
Norfolk State @ Baylor — — — 70–87 —
Fordham @ Arkansas +11.6 145.0 77% 48–74 ✓
Lamar @ TCU — — — 66–77 —
South Florida @ Auburn +19.3 134.9 84% 59–67 ✓
Liberty @ Alabama — — — 59–95 —
East Texas A&M @ Northern Colorado +0.4 134.9 38% 77–80 ✓
Chicago State @ St. Thomas +10.9 135.7 84% 61–83 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ UIC — — — 70–63 —
UTSA @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi — — — 55–75 —
Montana @ Xavier +22.8 151.3 89% 64–86 ✓
Colorado @ Grambling — — — 74–83 —
Northern Illinois @ Northwestern — — — 46–63 —
North Carolina A&T @ Iowa — — — 71–112 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Oklahoma +1.4 131.0 52% 58–66 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Texas A&M +17.7 138.6 86% 58–77 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Missouri +14.4 148.5 82% 85–92 ✓
Princeton @ Navy +23.9 144.5 87% 73–74 ✓
Elon @ East Tennessee State — — — 64–77 —
Georgia @ Wake Forest +10.6 134.0 78% 71–81 ✓
Southern @ Arizona +22.9 149.8 88% 78–95 ✓
Monmouth @ Virginia +17.2 135.7 86% 42–89 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Michigan — — — 83–88 —
Kansas City @ Illinois +16.0 142.8 85% 48–86 ✓
Florida A&M @ Oregon State +12.9 139.6 86% 43–60 ✓
Bradley @ Utah State — — — 62–84 —
South Alabama @ New Mexico — — — 74–80 —
Yale @ Eastern Washington — — — 74–60 —
SE Louisiana @ Colorado State — — — 69–80 —
NJIT @ California Baptist -1.5 137.9 56% 43–59 ✗
Pepperdine @ Cal State Fullerton -4.3 148.5 35% 71–74 ✗
Portland State @ Portland — — — 91–98 —
Western Illinois @ DePaul +5.1 141.1 59% 74–86 ✓
BYU @ San Diego State +15.6 134.7 86% 75–82 ✓
Long Beach State @ UCLA +9.7 137.7 67% 69–93 ✓
UC Irvine @ Oregon — — — 69–56 —
North Florida @ Washington +20.1 142.0 89% 67–75 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Hawai'i — — — 54–72 —
Green Bay @ Georgetown +15.7 149.3 83% 58–92 ✓
South Carolina State @ Tennessee State — — — 61–80 —
Saint Peter's @ Seton Hall +12.3 137.5 80% 44–80 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Purdue Fort Wayne — — — 76–81 —
Stonehill @ Army — — — 82–77 —
James Madison @ Buffalo -0.7 154.7 45% 97–62 ✓
Cleveland State @ Ohio +10.4 137.8 81% 70–81 ✓
Wright State @ Louisville +8.5 146.9 74% 73–72 ✗
Ball State @ Indiana State — — — 71–83 —
UMass Lowell @ Rutgers +9.1 132.9 65% 65–73 ✓
Jackson State @ Tulsa +9.4 140.1 77% 79–85 ✓
Wagner @ La Salle +2.7 145.7 54% 69–77 ✓
Niagara @ Bucknell — — — 50–68 —
Alcorn State @ Wichita State +17.7 137.2 87% 66–57 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Winthrop — — — 68–76 —
Wofford @ High Point — — — 80–91 —
Presbyterian @ East Carolina +8.1 140.3 75% 57–77 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Utah Valley +4.5 138.1 70% 69–73 ✓
Texas State @ Rhode Island +5.5 131.7 74% 70–66 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Nevada +12.8 140.6 81% 46–59 ✓
Incarnate Word @ UNLV +17.6 131.1 85% 63–88 ✓
Arkansas State @ LSU — — — 52–61 —
Lafayette @ St. John's +18.1 144.2 86% 68–83 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.