Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–9 on winners spread MAE 9.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington State @ Boise State -7.3 137.0 30% 61–71 ✗
Binghamton @ Marist — — — 78–75 —
Morgan State @ VCU +18.1 143.1 87% 54–69 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Canisius -2.1 145.0 50% 80–84 ✗
Evansville @ Saint Louis +13.9 149.7 76% 65–83 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Georgia State — — — 59–57 —
Hartford @ Saint Francis +10.6 136.9 78% 53–77 ✓
UAlbany @ Siena +11.1 140.5 77% 62–75 ✓
Illinois State @ Northwestern State +2.8 127.7 58% 69–67 ✗
Bellarmine @ Morehead State +0.3 138.8 39% 55–62 ✓
Northeastern @ Providence +9.0 135.9 76% 65–89 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Utah Tech — — — 63–69 —
New Mexico State @ UTEP — — — 64–67 —
UC Davis @ Loyola Marymount -1.5 149.4 52% 75–85 ✗
Sacramento State @ UC San Diego +0.1 138.4 56% 65–55 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Cincinnati +16.7 133.9 83% 69–87 ✓
Columbia @ Sacred Heart +15.0 140.0 87% 85–88 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Central Connecticut -7.6 158.3 20% 72–70 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Iowa State +32.8 145.6 91% 43–80 ✓
Colorado @ Tennessee +0.6 137.7 57% 78–66 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Central Michigan +7.0 141.9 51% 60–76 ✓
Pacific @ North Dakota State +3.7 146.2 62% 91–86 ✗
Harvard @ Elon -0.1 137.2 50% 92–77 ✓
VMI @ Davidson +15.1 150.7 84% 71–75 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi State +16.3 130.2 83% 47–80 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Oakland +1.6 144.7 64% 91–62 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ St. Thomas +16.4 136.3 88% 48–84 ✓
Idaho @ Omaha +1.3 139.6 57% 72–79 ✓
Arizona State @ Texas Southern +2.1 144.5 58% 66–67 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +1.5 144.6 52% 53–71 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Wyoming +11.8 144.2 81% 76–72 ✗
American University @ George Mason +5.5 140.9 74% 56–73 ✓
Towson @ Pennsylvania -1.8 134.8 44% 80–74 ✓
Youngstown State @ Notre Dame +4.5 155.1 65% 81–88 ✓
Louisiana @ East Tennessee State -0.1 139.7 49% 81–77 ✓
Western Michigan @ Valparaiso +2.8 140.9 55% 65–81 ✓
NJIT @ San Diego +15.0 139.6 86% 64–74 ✓
Alabama State @ Pepperdine +36.7 156.9 91% 62–91 ✓
Manhattan @ Fairleigh Dickinson +10.8 145.8 80% 74–77 ✓
Brown @ Loyola Maryland +9.9 141.5 82% 70–75 ✓
Portland State @ Seattle U +16.0 154.7 82% 71–83 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri +15.1 148.8 83% 53–82 ✓
William & Mary @ Virginia Tech +31.4 138.7 91% 77–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.