I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–16 on winners spread MAE 9.2 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Manhattan @ Siena +9.4 132.4 82% 56–64 ✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne +0.4 140.3 54% 75–86 ✓
Minnesota @ Nebraska -2.6 143.9 40% 74–78 ✗
Missouri State @ Evansville -7.9 142.4 28% 63–72 ✗
Drake @ Bradley -5.6 139.9 40% 61–67 ✗
Nicholls @ LSU New Orleans -3.5 150.9 37% 105–101 ✓
Tennessee State @ Eastern Kentucky +12.6 155.7 87% 84–89 ✓
Georgia State @ South Alabama +0.3 149.5 51% 82–73 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Old Dominion +10.9 136.9 82% 60–73 ✓
Furman @ Wofford -0.9 141.5 45% 73–74 ✗
UC San Diego @ UC Irvine +11.7 142.4 87% 64–75 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas -3.3 143.3 45% 58–71 ✗
USC @ Utah -4.4 139.3 39% 61–71 ✗
Rider @ Saint Peter's +10.0 131.6 83% 78–65 ✗
Coppin State @ Delaware State -5.7 157.8 28% 81–68 ✓
North Carolina Central @ North Carolina A&T +4.3 140.4 65% 53–55 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Utah Valley +1.7 144.2 58% 64–73 ✓
New Mexico State @ Tarleton State -2.9 131.4 42% 55–64 ✗
Houston Christian @ McNeese +0.1 154.8 52% 58–85 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota State +8.6 136.4 81% 77–89 ✓
Jackson State @ Mississippi Valley State -17.9 131.6 11% 68–54 ✓
Washington State @ Arizona State +2.6 148.0 63% 74–77 ✓
Murray State @ Tennessee Tech -9.1 144.6 20% 61–71 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U -2.8 131.2 40% 81–71 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga +21.0 161.9 90% 69–86 ✓
Saint Mary's @ BYU +8.4 134.3 80% 51–65 ✓
San Francisco @ Pacific +0.9 138.7 60% 69–76 ✓
UCLA @ Colorado +5.9 137.5 77% 61–70 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside -1.6 135.1 41% 52–68 ✗
Long Beach State @ Hawai'i +8.1 149.9 80% 76–79 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield +11.4 140.6 85% 90–87 ✗
Villanova @ Butler -8.2 135.0 23% 61–73 ✗
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +1.4 135.9 58% 72–64 ✗
Memphis @ Cincinnati -2.2 139.4 41% 80–74 ✓
Florida A&M @ South Carolina State -6.4 126.8 19% 63–58 ✓
Michigan State @ Maryland +6.5 137.9 77% 55–73 ✓
UAlbany @ Hartford +2.2 131.9 64% 77–83 ✓
Boston University @ Army +7.0 142.7 74% 55–57 ✓
Charlotte @ UTEP +7.6 128.8 79% 62–77 ✓
Florida International @ Western Kentucky +17.3 150.8 89% 58–91 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho -8.7 139.2 22% 71–61 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +2.6 156.7 56% 73–57 ✗
South Florida @ Houston +18.6 137.4 91% 52–98 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +7.0 137.4 75% 58–66 ✓
Bucknell @ American University +2.6 143.6 63% 68–81 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Marist +1.7 132.1 54% 67–76 ✓
Pittsburgh @ NC State +5.3 143.3 68% 62–65 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota +2.5 142.0 60% 89–77 ✗
Coppin State @ Delaware State -6.4 157.3 26% 94–74 ✓
Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts +8.5 158.9 85% 59–95 ✓
Lafayette @ Lehigh -1.6 151.6 44% 71–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.