Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–14 on winners spread MAE 9.7 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ UAlbany +4.7 141.7 76% 66–69 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State -2.8 153.0 36% 83–69 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -5.4 142.3 32% 74–83 ✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State +3.3 130.8 68% 70–83 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arizona State -8.2 149.1 25% 85–57 ✓
South Dakota @ Omaha +4.6 163.9 67% 75–100 ✓
Virginia @ Syracuse +0.9 138.6 47% 70–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Louis +5.2 138.4 75% 88–90 ✓
USC @ UCLA +10.3 140.0 82% 63–90 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge +10.2 145.4 86% 73–82 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas +4.8 155.8 70% 76–72 ✗
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -9.4 133.2 19% 71–66 ✓
UT Arlington @ California Baptist +6.2 144.0 77% 68–70 ✓
Furman @ Samford +1.2 148.6 58% 95–78 ✗
Hofstra @ Monmouth -1.5 131.3 46% 60–65 ✗
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +11.2 147.0 84% 77–73 ✗
Old Dominion @ Troy +8.8 130.6 83% 59–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +3.0 140.4 67% 69–48 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Fullerton -12.3 146.2 14% 64–59 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -6.9 138.3 24% 70–65 ✓
Houston @ Baylor -3.9 131.2 28% 65–61 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona +2.7 143.1 64% 53–66 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara -3.8 140.6 37% 97–88 ✓
Utah @ BYU +11.8 155.0 86% 74–85 ✓
Nevada @ San Diego State +6.9 134.4 77% 61–80 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +9.9 153.2 83% 69–85 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Davis -16.0 135.1 13% 68–57 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Washington State +2.6 149.3 66% 77–94 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State +7.9 140.6 80% 62–79 ✓
Drexel @ Towson +3.2 131.2 66% 76–82 ✓
Navy @ Bucknell +5.1 145.2 73% 83–77 ✗
Winthrop @ High Point +7.3 156.5 73% 69–81 ✓
Iowa @ Nebraska +6.3 155.8 73% 83–68 ✗
East Carolina @ Florida Atlantic +5.8 153.8 72% 53–81 ✓
Minnesota @ Rutgers +4.7 143.0 70% 67–75 ✓
Colgate @ American University +2.7 137.9 70% 62–72 ✓
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +5.3 146.8 71% 65–76 ✓
North Texas @ Temple -5.1 135.6 26% 61–66 ✗
UAB @ Tulane -0.1 156.3 48% 68–85 ✗
Tulsa @ Wichita State +10.5 143.6 87% 73–63 ✗
Bradley @ Drake +4.1 117.6 69% 48–63 ✓
Delaware @ William & Mary +2.5 153.2 61% 100–78 ✗
Oregon @ Washington -7.2 148.9 22% 80–73 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +2.1 145.5 59% 80–77 ✗
UTSA @ Charlotte +0.1 149.2 51% 83–80 ✗
Hampton @ UNC Wilmington +5.6 137.9 75% 65–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +6.2 133.6 78% 48–62 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama -0.6 139.7 41% 74–71 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +9.8 141.2 82% 65–85 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +9.6 145.6 84% 52–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.