I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–15 on winners spread MAE 8.1 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.4 147.0 55% 95–86 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +1.5 140.9 55% 64–71 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Alabama -5.8 141.6 30% 87–63 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +3.6 130.8 63% 76–80 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield +9.3 136.8 80% 50–65 ✓
UCLA @ Washington -9.8 147.3 19% 64–61 ✓
USC @ Washington State -8.8 134.2 21% 76–65 ✓
Providence @ DePaul -3.9 140.3 36% 57–47 ✓
Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa +5.4 140.5 69% 70–57 ✗
Nicholls @ SE Louisiana -7.8 143.4 24% 86–84 ✓
Denver @ Western Illinois +9.0 156.1 79% 75–82 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas City +9.4 128.6 80% 47–55 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +14.0 149.7 90% 93–89 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine -1.5 135.2 45% 58–60 ✗
UT Martin @ Murray State +18.2 137.1 95% 55–84 ✓
Florida International @ UTEP +11.1 145.9 84% 68–77 ✓
Utah @ Stanford +3.7 137.6 63% 66–73 ✓
Colorado @ California -13.0 134.8 12% 62–71 ✗
UNLV @ Boise State +14.2 144.2 90% 59–61 ✓
New Mexico State @ Seattle U +1.3 140.2 55% 65–58 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i -6.2 135.4 29% 81–74 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside +5.8 125.7 70% 73–67 ✗
Stony Brook @ Vermont +13.5 137.5 89% 57–61 ✓
Michigan @ Wisconsin -1.5 135.3 45% 67–59 ✓
UCF @ Cincinnati +2.7 136.1 60% 68–69 ✓
Elon @ Charleston +8.4 132.1 78% 66–55 ✗
Northeastern @ Towson -6.2 136.2 29% 57–68 ✗
NJIT @ Hartford +1.8 130.6 56% 61–75 ✓
Norfolk State @ Morgan State +4.8 151.4 67% 68–65 ✗
Tulane @ South Florida +3.9 126.2 64% 62–59 ✗
Hofstra @ James Madison +3.4 153.5 62% 70–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Drake -4.2 135.4 35% 50–51 ✗
Sacramento State @ California Baptist +2.6 154.7 59% 70–69 ✗
Marquette @ Seton Hall +8.5 143.9 78% 51–57 ✓
Nebraska @ Penn State +12.6 146.8 87% 62–61 ✗
South Dakota @ North Dakota -7.2 143.9 26% 81–85 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech +4.4 149.0 66% 65–71 ✓
Indiana State @ Evansville -3.8 127.6 37% 76–70 ✓
Bradley @ Missouri State +5.2 136.2 68% 57–72 ✓
Illinois State @ Southern Illinois +1.6 141.8 56% 49–59 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +1.9 153.1 57% 69–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +0.0 142.4 50% 68–86 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +12.6 122.4 87% 49–66 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -0.2 165.6 49% 95–80 ✓
Colgate @ Army -9.8 150.1 19% 92–83 ✓
Miami @ Notre Dame +10.0 142.3 82% 61–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.