← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–0 on winners
spread MAE 7.2
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valparaiso
@
Northern Iowa
|
+3.5 | 139.6 | 62% | 60–74 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Arizona State
|
+4.6 | 148.0 | 66% | 73–75 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Maryland
|
+2.7 | 142.8 | 60% | 59–72 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
LSU New Orleans
|
-7.5 | 154.6 | 25% | 89–79 | ✓ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Tennessee Tech
|
-10.3 | 156.0 | 17% | 83–72 | ✓ |
Murray State
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
-7.9 | 137.3 | 24% | 86–57 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
Longwood
|
+7.0 | 133.9 | 74% | 73–83 | ✓ |
South Carolina Upstate
@
Presbyterian
|
+2.9 | 132.4 | 60% | 65–75 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.