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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–3 on winners
spread MAE 10.3
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
@
Florida State
|
-1.7 | 134.9 | 44% | 60–81 | ✗ |
East Tennessee State
@
Chattanooga
|
-0.8 | 133.2 | 47% | 51–53 | ✗ |
Washington
@
Washington State
|
+8.7 | 140.7 | 78% | 65–63 | ✗ |
Northern Illinois
@
Akron
|
+21.9 | 132.6 | 98% | 76–81 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
Oklahoma State
|
+15.6 | 145.8 | 92% | 58–76 | ✓ |
Providence
@
UConn
|
+5.7 | 136.0 | 70% | 61–73 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.