This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–12 on winners spread MAE 10.1 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Omaha @ Kansas +13.2 142.3 88% 50–95 ✓
Nebraska @ Creighton +14.1 147.0 90% 74–98 ✓
Villanova @ Georgetown -4.7 143.1 34% 76–63 ✓
George Washington @ Delaware +5.6 151.5 70% 65–68 ✓
Iona @ Fairfield -3.5 151.4 38% 70–42 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Davidson +8.3 140.0 78% 45–77 ✓
South Carolina State @ Charleston +14.9 142.6 91% 63–90 ✓
Murray State @ Southern Illinois +7.3 147.7 75% 66–70 ✓
Niagara @ Saint Peter's +13.7 130.5 89% 54–70 ✓
Iowa State @ Iowa +24.4 156.3 99% 77–105 ✓
Nevada @ Grand Canyon +7.2 122.7 74% 77–87 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +3.9 130.0 64% 67–74 ✓
Marquette @ UCLA +11.3 146.8 85% 60–69 ✓
Florida @ Florida State -1.6 141.7 44% 71–83 ✗
Wofford @ South Florida -7.5 143.8 25% 56–58 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Miami +16.0 122.2 93% 66–62 ✗
Notre Dame @ Kentucky +6.5 142.0 72% 64–63 ✗
Kansas City @ Toledo +19.5 133.9 96% 57–64 ✓
Cincinnati @ Tennessee +10.2 120.7 82% 56–65 ✓
Syracuse @ Boston College -1.3 147.7 45% 101–63 ✓
Stony Brook @ Bryant +27.5 172.2 99% 72–81 ✓
North Carolina Central @ North Carolina +19.6 146.2 96% 67–73 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas Tech +26.4 122.9 99% 57–77 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Western Michigan +4.9 140.9 67% 67–57 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Tulane +21.5 139.5 97% 56–67 ✓
La Salle @ Drexel +12.9 123.3 88% 58–48 ✗
High Point @ UNC Asheville +0.6 149.3 52% 67–80 ✓
Texas A&M @ TCU -3.8 131.1 36% 55–73 ✗
South Alabama @ Southern Miss +0.7 130.0 53% 76–75 ✗
Mississippi State @ Dayton -4.8 123.5 33% 82–85 ✗
Utah Tech @ Denver -0.3 149.6 49% 73–70 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Wichita State -1.2 147.4 46% 67–64 ✓
Idaho @ Cal State Bakersfield +5.1 128.0 68% 66–76 ✓
Western Carolina @ North Carolina A&T -3.7 158.0 37% 104–98 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Pittsburgh +5.9 160.9 70% 50–67 ✓
Wyoming @ Utah Valley -3.2 148.1 39% 93–88 ✓
Winthrop @ South Carolina Upstate -6.0 152.0 29% 95–77 ✓
UAB @ East Tennessee State -7.0 126.1 26% 65–61 ✓
Valparaiso @ Central Michigan +4.3 147.6 65% 79–84 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Loyola Marymount +3.5 133.8 62% 76–81 ✓
Old Dominion @ VCU +10.1 146.0 82% 54–77 ✓
Western Illinois @ Eastern Illinois +12.6 140.3 87% 88–92 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Ole Miss +13.4 142.6 89% 58–78 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UL Monroe +4.5 138.0 66% 55–66 ✓
Florida A&M @ Oklahoma +13.4 167.5 89% 54–85 ✓
Florida International @ North Florida -5.0 154.4 32% 77–80 ✗
Memphis @ Auburn -11.1 143.3 16% 71–74 ✗
UTEP @ Arizona +15.3 147.1 92% 61–69 ✓
Rider @ Manhattan -5.6 145.6 31% 77–87 ✗
Utah @ BYU +4.7 145.9 67% 64–82 ✓
North Dakota @ North Dakota State +0.9 130.4 53% 52–53 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.